Norway v Italy: Forecast, Odds and Bets

The highly anticipated European World Cup qualifier between Norway and Italy takes place on Friday, June 6, 2025, at Oslo’s Ullevaal Stadion. Fans across Europe can catch the match at 20:45 CEST in Italy, Germany, France, and Spain, while viewers in the UK will tune in at 19:45 BST. This fixture marks Italy’s third Group I outing as they look to secure their first victory, having stumbled in their opening two matches.

Norway, on the other hand, have enjoyed a flying start, sitting top of the group with six points from two games. Under a counter-attacking approach, the hosts have become one of the most exciting sides to watch, pushing games open and racking up goals against their opponents. With momentum firmly behind them, Norway will fancy their chances against an Italy side still searching for consistency.

How are both teams coming into this?

Norway have transitioned from underdogs to one of Europe’s dark horses in qualifiers. Bolstered by a potent attack and a tactical system that thrives on quick transitions, they have registered high-scoring wins in each of their opening fixtures. Confidence is high among the squad, and playing at home in front of passionate supporters gives them an extra boost.

Italy, by contrast, have struggled to find their rhythm in this campaign. Despite a rich footballing history, the Azzurri have failed to register a win so far, dropping points in matches they were expected to control. Manager Arrigo Sacchi has admitted that “the problem is us,” highlighting the need for better cohesion and sharper finishing if they are to get their qualifying campaign back on track.

Our forecast

While Norway enter this match as favorites thanks to their form and attacking firepower, Italy cannot be underestimated. The visitors boast defensive resilience and have shown they can grind out results under pressure. However, they will need to be at their best to withstand Norway’s pace on the counter.

We expect an open affair, with chances at both ends of the pitch. Norway’s aggressive pressing should force errors, but Italy’s experience in tight contests may help them weather the storm. A draw appears a likely outcome, though a narrow win for either side cannot be ruled out.

Best odds

  • Bet365: Home win 3.60, Draw 3.40, Away win 2.10
  • William Hill: Home win 3.50, Draw 3.30, Away win 2.15
  • Betfair: Home win 3.65, Draw 3.25, Away win 2.08

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