Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth: Forecast, Odds and Bets





Manchester City v AFC Bournemouth: Forecast, Odds and Bets

On Tuesday May 20, 2025, Manchester City will welcome AFC Bournemouth to the Etihad Stadium in a pivotal Matchday 37 encounter of the 2024/25 Premier League season. Kick-off is set for 20:00 BST in the UK, which translates to 21:00 CEST across Italy, Germany, France and Spain. Referee Thomas Bramall will oversee what promises to be a high-stakes clash as the title race gives way to the battle for European qualification.

With only two rounds remaining and just the European spots left to decide, both sides head into this fixture with contrasting ambitions. City currently sit sixth and are desperate to climb into a Champions League berth, while Bournemouth are comfortably placed in mid-table with little left to play for. Expect a match full of intensity as Pep Guardiola’s men aim to bounce back from recent disappointment and secure their European fate.

How are both teams coming into this?

Manchester City have enjoyed mixed fortunes this season, finding themselves unexpectedly outside the top four in sixth place. Nonetheless, they arrive on the back of an impressive ten-game unbeaten streak across all competitions, a run that only came to an end in the FA Cup final with a 1-0 loss to Crystal Palace. Despite the defeat, City boasted an xG of 2.30 versus Palace’s 0.74, highlighting their attacking dominance.

AFC Bournemouth, meanwhile, sit in 10th and look set for a solid mid-table finish. The Cherries have shown signs of resilience in recent matches but often lack the cutting edge to trouble the Premier League’s elite. Their historical record against City does little to bolster confidence—out of 17 meetings, Bournemouth have managed just a single victory while City have won 16 times.

Our forecast

Considering City’s urgency to secure a Champions League spot and their formidable home form, they head into this fixture as clear favourites. Expect possession dominance from the hosts, with Guardiola’s side probing relentlessly for openings and creating a host of chances throughout the 90 minutes.

For Bournemouth, finding the back of the net at the Etihad will require near-perfect execution, and City’s defensive solidity makes that a tough ask. A comfortable win for the home side—think a 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline—seems the most likely outcome, while bettors might want to consider markets such as Over 2.5 Goals or a straight Manchester City victory.

Best odds

  • Bet365: Manchester City win @ 1.30
  • William Hill: Manchester City win @ 1.28
  • Betfair: Manchester City win @ 1.29


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