Mamelodi Sundowns v Fluminense: Forecast, Odds and Bets

The eagerly anticipated Club World Cup Group Stage encounter between Mamelodi Sundowns and Fluminense RJ takes place on Wednesday, 25 June 2025. Fans across Europe can tune in at 21:00 CEST (Italy, Germany, France, Spain) while viewers in the UK can catch kick‐off at 20:00 BST. This match represents a pivotal moment for both sides as they vie to secure vital points in the newly expanded eight‐group format.

Having experienced contrasting starts in their opening fixtures, the South African champions and the Brazilian side will be looking to build momentum. With Fluminense boasting an unbeaten run and Sundowns eager to tighten the screws defensively after conceding four goals in their last outing, this showdown promises to deliver tactical intrigue and high‐pressure moments.

How are both teams coming into this?

Mamelodi Sundowns currently sit second in Group X with three points from two matches, courtesy of a win and a narrow defeat. Their thrilling 3-4 loss to Borussia Dortmund showcased a potent attack but exposed defensive frailties that coach José Miguel Azevedo Cardoso must address. The Sundowns will need to balance their forward momentum with greater defensive discipline to overcome the well-organised Brazilian outfit.

Fluminense RJ arrive in the United States buoyed by an unbeaten record, though a goalless draw against Dortmund left them hungry for their first tournament goal. Under Renato Portaluppi’s guidance, they have demonstrated tactical solidity and resilience at the back. With Thiago Silva’s leadership in defence and a string of positive results behind them, the Brazilian side are confident of turning chances into goals against a Sundowns backline prone to lapses.

Our forecast

We anticipate a tightly contested affair, with both teams cautious in possession and wary of defensive mistakes. Fluminense’s pragmatic approach and recent clean sheets suggest they have the edge in a low-scoring contest. However, Sundowns’ attacking flair means they cannot be ruled out of finding the net — especially at key moments during counter-attacks.

Ultimately, our prediction leans towards a narrow victory for Fluminense RJ. We foresee a 1-0 win for the Brazilians, secured by a moment of individual quality or a set-piece routine. While Mamelodi Sundowns will push for an equaliser, Fluminense’s defensive organisation should see them through to all three points.

Best odds

  • Bet365: Fluminense to win at 1.87
  • William Hill: Draw at 3.65
  • Betfair: Mamelodi Sundowns to win at 4.62

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