Brazil v Paraguay: Forecast, Odds and Bets

Get ready for a **South America World Cup Qualifier** as **Brazil** host **Paraguay** on **Wednesday, June 11, 2025** at the Neo Química Arena in São Paulo. The game kicks off at 01:45 local time (São Paulo), with European viewers tuning in at 02:45 CEST (Italy, Germany, France, Spain) and 01:45 BST (UK).

This fixture is matchday 16 of the CONMEBOL qualifiers, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Brazil sit fourth with 22 points, just two behind third-placed Paraguay, meaning a win here could vault them into direct qualification spots for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

How are both teams coming into this?

Brazil have been inconsistent of late, failing to win four of their last five internationals despite boasting a strong home record of W5-D1-L1. While the Seleção can find the net (notably a 5–1 win over Bolivia), they’ve conceded in five of their seven qualifiers, raising questions about defensive solidity under pressure.

Paraguay arrive in fine form against their opponents, remaining unbeaten in nine of their last 12 meetings with Brazil. Sitting third with 24 points, they’ve dropped just two games all campaign and often frustrate hosts with a disciplined backline. A point here would all but seal direct qualification for them.

Our forecast

This promises to be a tight, tactical affair. Brazil will dominate possession and create chances, but Paraguay’s organization makes them hard to break down. We expect a high-intensity opening 30 minutes as both teams chase an early edge.

Ultimately, we’re siding with a narrow home win—think 2–1 to Brazil—with goals at both ends. Backing “Both Teams To Score” alongside a Brazil victory offers solid value given Paraguay’s resilience and Brazil’s defensive lapses.

Best odds

  • Bet365: Brazil 1.55, Draw 4.20, Paraguay 7.50
  • William Hill: Brazil 1.60, Draw 4.10, Paraguay 7.00
  • Betfair: Brazil 1.57, Draw 4.25, Paraguay 7.20

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